Yes, Fay, your numbers analysis makes sense.
Voters, not the Democratic establishment, must choose presidential nominees.
This was not the case with Al Gore, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden (twice), and Kamala Harris, who all lost (apart from Biden winning under the shelter of COVID). In contrast, Barack Obama and Bill Clinton broke the system, won, and returned to win second terms.
Gore, Hillary, Biden, and Harris were lackluster candidates with poor communication skills. Thus, it was no surprise that they failed to connect with voters and lost.
Best.