Caren, it's all utterly depressing. The tall grass must be very crowded. There is no whiff of leadership in the Republican Party. It's pathetic.

Donald could win the nomination for the circumstances you point out. But to win the presidency? The Democrats would need to crash (always possible, of course).

Logically though (and logic still exists (although we need help understanding it), the probability of Donald's success is lower than in 2020. He has lost the advantages of incumbency and has gained NO new voters.

The best insurance is for the Democrats to get a better candidate than Joe Biden. There is complacency (not to mention a lack of imagination) among democrats that the "enablers" will take advantage of. The trashing of Iowa is an example because the significance to most seems minor.

That first-up was located in the heart of America, and decisively Republican was GOOD. The lack of diversity angle is mostly BS. Iowa delivered us Black Barack Obama, Jewish socialist Bernie Sanders, and a young gay Pete Buttigieg. Iowa rejected Julian Castro, Elizabeth Warren, and Joe Biden because they failed to appeal.

Best to you.